Market board
Federal vote markets
Each card tracks the current crowd estimate for the 2036 welfare index if the measure passes versus if it fails. When available, a violet AI composite shows the blended model forecast beside the crowd. No real money, no balances, just public conditional forecasting.
Optional Referendum
Änderung vom 26. September 2025 des Bundesgesetzes über den zivilen Ersatzdienst (Zivildienstgesetz, ZDG)
An optional referendum on tighter civilian service rules, aimed at reducing military-to-civilian service switches and reshaping the replacement-service framework.
Swiss Civic Resilience Index
Vote date
14 Jun 2026
in 2 months
If passes
51.4
If fails
58.1
Forecasts
26
Swiss Civic Resilience IndexAI P 57.0 · R 52.0
Open market
Popular Initiative
Volksinitiative Keine 10-Millionen-Schweiz!
A popular initiative focused on sustainability and migration limits, centered on a proposal to keep Switzerland below 10 million residents before 2050.
Swiss Prosperity Index
Vote date
14 Jun 2026
in 2 months
If passes
59.4
If fails
44.6
Forecasts
29
Swiss Prosperity IndexAI P 64.0 · R 58.0
Open market