Market board
Federal vote markets
Each card tracks the current crowd estimate for the 2036 welfare index if the measure passes versus if it fails. When available, a violet AI composite shows the blended model forecast beside the crowd. No real money, no balances, just public conditional forecasting.
Popular Initiative
No 10-million Switzerland
A population policy proposal used here as a public example market for forecasting long-run welfare outcomes under acceptance or rejection.
Population Capacity Index
Vote date
28 Feb 2027
in 8 months
If passes
59.4
If fails
44.6
Forecasts
29
Population Capacity Index
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Optional Referendum
Civilian Service Act amendment
A public-service reform example for comparing the expected welfare index if the measure passes versus if it fails.
Public Service Resilience Index
Vote date
13 Jun 2027
in 1 year
If passes
51.4
If fails
58.1
Forecasts
26
Public Service Resilience Index
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